In the future, the new energy field and military aerospace will provide huge market potential. In the era of the COVID-19, the pace of technological progress continues. To develop messenger RNA vaccine against COVID-19 virus. At present, the process has been optimized to provide vaccines in the shortest time. At present, the development of medical technology has led to an increase in the demand for small circular push-pull disconnect connectors.
With the recovery of the supply chain, the continuous shortage of chips will continue until 2022. The supply shortage experienced by the electronics industry is expected to stimulate investment in the domestic manufacturing industry, especially with the support of the US government for key components.
A new financial service ecosystem is being quietly established. DeFi (open finance) provides almost instant digital communication and control. Power demand affects the design of data centers.
The implementation of 5G and the development of 6G in the future require a large amount of broadband infrastructure investment. New high-frequency electronic components will be needed, including new connectors and cable series, as well as waveguide (WGs) products for low terahertz.
Engineers generally believe that technological progress is its criterion, such as Moore's Law. However, the industry's economic situation, from financial interest rates to supply chain restrictions, to the new FCC bandwidth restrictions, has a profound impact on the pace of innovation. The government plays a role in investment and regulation, from tax credits for new sustainable buildings (including solar and wind energy equipment) to labor issues related to COVID-19 vaccination.
The use of digital platforms has increased.
Bitcoin is the first famous blockchain currency and will become the mainstream investment in 2021. Ethereum and other cryptocurrencies are expected to reach the operating scale in 2022, and become the basis for encrypted, secure and friction-free transactions between financial institutions, which are used for fund transfer, credit card processing, exchange financing, and even asset support for loans. The new financial system will be faster, lower operating costs, more transparent, and less dependent on the central bank and the financial system. Although it is difficult to expand at present, these new digital technology platforms can provide a common value base for local and global exchanges. Ethereum blockchain has become an important factor of DeFi. It is expected that in the first quarter of 2022, it will handle more transactions than VISA. Few of us will notice the change of process, which will reduce the cost of personal and corporate financial transactions. It is predicted that the world will use Bitcoin as the base currency for instant exchange.
Emphasize 5G small base station technolog
At present, most wireless infrastructures are developed for 4G and LTE devices, which are suitable for low-capacity mobile phones, but they cannot handle the massive data transmission and communication needs needed to develop high-speed technology, including Vehicle-to-Everything (V2X) and smart city infrastructure. 5G will need a large number of dense sites to play its role. The use of MIMO antennas in 5G installation greatly increases the number of RF ports with higher frequencies (shorter wavelengths). Although many technical articles discuss new connectors in the higher GHz band, the basic 5G wireless access network (RAN) will focus on the current LTE frequency and the 450MHz to 6 GHz (called "FR1") frequency of the existing connectors. High-frequency 5G band uses 24-47 GHz frequency to achieve download speed in the range of Gb/s, which is comparable to wired internet. The transmission range of millimeter wave (mmWave) is limited, which increases the number of small base stations required. Small base stations will expand the market demand of MHF I-PEX (also used for PCIe), Hirose's U.FL series, and low PIM versions of standard N, SMB, and SMPM (including cable versions). Plus the updated RF NEX10 and 2.2/5, as well as products developed by other companies, such as Amphenol, Radial, Huber Suhner, Spinner, Telegrtner, etc.
Potential of connectors in new energy vehicles
By 2022, several manufacturers will launch all-electric trucks, which can work all day with only one charge. GM's electric Hummer truck will then launch an electric vehicle SUV, which will be equipped with an updated 800-volt fast charging system. The company's all-electric e-Silverado will compete with Ford's F150 lightning car, and several companies will also launch electric trucks this year. The development of electric trucks will lead to high-power charging chassis defined by IEC and other standards, and expand the future market of trailer connectors.
Some new cars have more computing power than jet aircraft, have up to 100 programmable electronic control units (ECUs) and up to 100 million lines of software code, and can run all functions of engine and power system, infotainment, communication, safety sensor and driving assistance system. These electronic vehicle components and systems must coexist without EMI/RFI interference. The supplier is learning the new standard of AEC-Q100, which defines the standard test of active components and passive components required by AEC-Q200. These components will ensure the connection of large components of components through connectors with relatively low cost and high capacity automatic termination cables, as well as redundant mechanical terminal positioning assurance (TPA) and connector location, so as to provide higher reliability. With the use of high GHz signals, the new mini-FAKRA connector will become very important. Driven by the growth of sensors and control components (including those for V2V/V2X communication), cable components for automotive applications will continue to be the largest part of the entire cable assembly market
It is estimated that the sales will be close to $52 billion by 2022
The new vehicle control system will include a pair of new E3171-7, which comply with IEC63171-2 (IP20), IEC63171-5 (IP67) and IP67, with a range of 1000 meters, a data rate of up to 1 Gb/s, and a power of up to 50W, using small rectangular and circular M8 and M12 connectors. The SPE can also handle 10 Mb/s traditional systems, which can now be converted to Ethernet. The new military and aerospace fields provide exciting market potential.
5G and 6G will provide network security and communication capabilities for military operations. In October 2021, DARPA issued an RFP for low and medium income data, which is used for the G-band sub-hertz frequency range 110-300 GHz components, and for remote sensing and higher data rate (wider bandwidth) communication applications. This will take advantage of low atmospheric absorption above 200 GHz. According to the proposal submitted in December, the official commencement date of the project is planned to be May 2022. Extending interconnection to above 110 GHz is a natural extension of the current system, which has been tested to 145 GHz.